In the off-season, the raw materials are not mad.
The core reminder: "Just contacted a manufacturer of grey fabrics, a list that was finalized before, and the price has risen today." "The value of the US dollar is depreciating, the price of raw materials is rising, and the current foreign trade is really getting harder and harder." Time PTA price increase, I heard the price increase of polyester before, and I heard that the spandex price has risen yesterday.
“Just contacted a manufacturer of grey fabrics, a list that was finalized before, and the price has risen today.†“The value of the US dollar is depreciating, the price of raw materials is rising, and the current foreign trade is really getting harder and harder.†The price, I heard the price increase of polyester before, and I heard that the spandex price has risen yesterday."
In a recent interview, when it comes to price hikes, many fabric companies have complained to reporters, and some even joked that today's fabric companies are as thin as razor blades.
A variety of raw materials are soaring
From July to August, it should have belonged to the off-season of the textile industry. This year, it has been “up†and has made countless fabric owners feel extremely worried.
The first knife inserted into the boss's mind is PTA. Since July, the price of PTA has changed from the first half of the year. Due to the restart of several PTA production units and the high operating rate of downstream polyester and weaving factories, there has been a continuous rise. . Hengli Investment has Hengli Petrochemical's 6.6 million tons/year PTA production base with the largest global monomer capacity. Based on the PTA-0.66PX spread of the company, it has improved significantly since July this year. The spread is 485 yuan from June. It rose to 879 yuan, and the price difference has remained above 700 yuan since August. In this regard, Hengli analysis believes that in the long run, the trend of domestic PTA industry will be better in the future, and the extension of the upstream and downstream of the leading industrial chain will raise the high threshold of the industry, and the price control of leading enterprises will increase.
Stimulated by many favorable factors such as PTA's multiple daily limit and POY alliance meeting, the polyester filament market also ushered in the “golden season†in July, and the price center rose to “no friendsâ€, and some products even approached the high level in the year. Although the rising trend of the polyester filament market gradually eased in the middle and late July, since the FDY Alliance meeting on August 9th, the enthusiasm for purchasing in the downstream market has been stimulated, and the next day production and sales exceeded 200%, and some manufacturers even Residents are reluctant to sell. Since then, the hot trend of the polyester filament market has been out of control, and the price of each product has risen successively, and production and sales have increased. On August 25th, polyester DTY rose significantly, with market intelligence of 9809 yuan/ton, up 0.19% from the previous day. The mainstream factory price in Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces rose by 10 yuan to 100 yuan/ton, and polyester POY150D/48F reported 8150 yuan to 8360 yuan. / ton, DTY150D/48F (low bomb) reported 9700 yuan ~ 10010 yuan / ton, FDY150D / 96F reported 8850 yuan ~ 9,000 yuan / ton.
The same "tie" is also the price of dyes, affected by environmental pressure and other factors, some dye companies in Shaoxing again adjusted prices on August 24. The price of the decentralized black ECT 300% was raised to 40 yuan / kg, which was 5 yuan / kg higher than the market price on August 18. This is also the fourth price increase of the dye in the last month. Since July 27, the price of the scattered black ECT 300% has increased from the 24,000 yuan/ton before the price increase to the current 40,000 yuan/ton. It has soared more than 60% in one month.
Fabric companies are in trouble
The performance of various "low seasons are not light" has made the industry people feel confused, but they can only helplessly take over. The performance of the market seems to be very similar to the situation at the end of last year. According to feedback from some industry insiders, based on the time characteristics of this wave of price surges + environmental storms, in the traditional off-season, the textile enterprises affected by this wave are not only small and medium-sized manufacturers with poor anti-risk ability, but also some large-scale textiles. Enterprises are also "dumb to eat berberine, there is no hardship to say."
Nowadays, the traditional peak season of “Golden September and Silver 10†has arrived. Regarding the market outlook, the industry insiders pointed out that a good market continuation is a high probability event. Even a person in charge of a fabric company in Wujiang said that the price increase will become the new normal. Whether it is raw materials, dyeing or labor, it is not the question of whether it will rise or not, but how much it will rise. Of course, it is worth noting that before the peak season of sales, the textile circle will frequently spread the news of price increases. Some cases may be the case of “the wolf is comingâ€. In fact, there is no significant price increase. Individual businesses are suspected of speculation to promote sales.
However, there is no doubt that the rising prices of upstream raw materials and the delay in the transmission of downstream consumer goods have caused a situation of “two-sided attack†on fabric companies in the midstream. Nowadays, many fabric companies are sending a large number of people to “lobby†peers to raise prices and raise prices, and send teams to explain the reasons for price increases to downstream buyers.
Price and strength are not good
But when it comes to price increases, it’s easier said than done. According to China Textile City, the price index on apparel fabrics on August 28 closed at 117.45 points, down 0.19% from the previous month. The price index on apparel fabrics fell slightly, and the market sales rebounded from the previous month. Data analysis shows that the current demand for downstream apparel manufacturers is weak, and the lack of external orders and inventory pressures have caused the current fabric transaction prices to decline.
During the interview, many corporate executives admitted that SMEs usually do not have bargaining power, and even if the prices of raw materials rise, they do not dare to easily change the price of finished products. "If our prices rise, many brands will change their cooperation partners. So usually we can only slowly follow the big environment and gradually adjust the price." The relevant person in charge of Zhejiang Digital Hing Import and Export Co., Ltd. said that he looks at various types every day. The price of raw materials has risen, but they are afraid to raise prices. “Even if it is the price of the capital preservation, the company does not dare to act rashly. We all know that the sensitivity of customers to the supply price is very strong.†Some of the peers are not willing to raise prices. They probably want to use the cost advantage to drag down their opponents' considerations. The downstream buyers are even more resistant to price increases. There is a big 'you don't do others' posture, communication is very difficult." Ke Qiao A sales manager in the fabric company has a similar view. "Strong raw material prices superimposed on the slow conduction of consumption, will it overwhelm the midstream enterprises? This is a problem to be considered. The trend of raw material price increases is very clear, but the fabric price increase is affected by many factors, so How long the mid-stream enterprises can last will be a problem. If this is the case, the mid-stream enterprises will become profitable in the industrial chain, which may lead to the abnormal development of the industry.†A brokerage analyst is not worried about this.
Editor in charge: Xu Yuehua
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